Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.181396 0.208619 0.239720 0.278137 0.324668 0.379653 0.450219
2025-05-11 0.141322 0.176717 0.221796 0.284547 0.371484 0.490567 0.671323
2025-05-18 0.116485 0.154607 0.207152 0.287247 0.410752 0.602268 0.940153
2025-05-25 0.099679 0.138455 0.195282 0.288442 0.445485 0.716786 1.266685
2025-06-01 0.086936 0.125190 0.184083 0.286613 0.473093 0.827616 1.645710
2025-06-08 0.076665 0.113691 0.173055 0.281770 0.492930 0.930311 2.070609
2025-06-15 0.070759 0.107998 0.170155 0.289957 0.539063 1.104732 2.797169
2025-06-22 0.063764 0.099463 0.160905 0.284129 0.554605 1.216913 3.448227
2025-06-29 0.059135 0.094283 0.156684 0.287054 0.589974 1.394839 4.498324
2025-07-06 0.054391 0.088295 0.150058 0.283610 0.609463 1.540054 5.607936
2025-07-13 0.051360 0.084997 0.147997 0.289445 0.653879 1.784517 7.537313
2025-07-20 0.048811 0.082272 0.146632 0.296513 0.704119 2.080621 10.342692
2025-07-27 0.046307 0.079423 0.144765 0.302437 0.754834 2.421241 14.405016
2025-08-03 0.044210 0.077145 0.143796 0.310495 0.815931 2.858133 20.924460
2025-08-10 0.041927 0.074257 0.141138 0.313775 0.863784 3.285262 29.654387
2025-08-17 0.039732 0.071324 0.138001 0.315185 0.906533 3.735703 42.043223
2025-08-24 0.037516 0.068134 0.133893 0.313160 0.936833 4.158073 58.363431
2025-08-31 0.035293 0.064734 0.128911 0.307751 0.952909 4.521961 78.668518
2025-09-07 0.034165 0.063538 0.128922 0.316908 1.031566 5.411933 134.243247
2025-09-14 0.032224 0.060431 0.124021 0.310391 1.042423 5.834992 186.522559
2025-09-21 0.030978 0.058736 0.122366 0.313662 1.098837 6.731444 318.522295
2025-09-28 0.029462 0.056322 0.118679 0.309810 1.121429 7.383410 497.375836
2025-10-05 0.028567 0.055224 0.118178 0.316336 1.198574 8.757371 1065.012738